Thursday, May 31, 2018

Thursday NBA Finals....

Picks:

Side: GS
Total: GS un

Kevin Love playing makes this a no-play for me....Was ready to play the Warriors, but will pass now....LeBron never seems to be concerned about losing Game 1 of playoff series as he considers Game 1 a feeling-out process where King James gets to see how the defense is going to play him and then the adjustments can be made for Game 2 after some film study....The teams that win these playoff games this postseason are covering the spread at an alarmingly high rate, so since I believe Golden State wins this game, then I have to pick them, despite a spread that some will say is too high as the public is leaning towards Cleveland in this game.

Saturday, May 26, 2018

Saturday NBA playoffs...

Picks:

Side: GS
Total: GS un

No Chris Paul tonight....If the Warriors get out to a fast start and step on Houston's throats, then the Rockets will quit and rest their guys in the 4Q and save everyone for Monday's Game 7....Just do not think Golden State can lose 3 straight with all 4 of their All-Stars in the lineup....They did lose 3 straight, 2 of those at home in the Finals vs. Cleveland 2 years ago, however, Draymond Green was suspended for the first of those 3 losses, which was big.....

I may take GS small tonight...This should be a blowout...

Friday, May 25, 2018

Friday NBA...

Picks:

Side: Bos
Total: Bos ov

Boston did not play very well last time out as they shot just 36.5% from the field and yet they still won by double-digits...LeBron looked tired....He denied it in the press conference after the game, but he was clearly fatigued during that game....If he is still even a little bit fatigued for Game 6, then Boston has a chance to close this game out....In the 17 Celtics playoff games, the home team has gone 16-1 straight up and the only loss was Philly losing to Boston in Game 3 of the conference semis and the Sixers gave that game away at the end....

Also, in the 17 playoff games the Celtics have played in, the team that won covered 16 of those 17 games....The only team that won and did not cover was Milwaukee in Game 4 at home in the first round....The Bucks led by close to 20 in that game, too....Could not hold the lead in the 4Q, fell behind by a point with less than a minute to go and then won by 2....

I am not making this play because I feel an away team is "due to cover", I feel like Boston has a legit chance to win this game, so I will take those 7 all day long....In game 4, LeBron and Cleveland played great, as King James scored 44 and the Cavs outshot Boston by almost 10% from the field and yet still only won by 11 and Boston had it down to 7 late....

So I will play:

Boston Celtics +7, laying $110 to win $100...

GL...

Thursday, May 24, 2018

Thursday NBA playoffs...

Picks:

Side: GS
Total: GS un

The Warriors respond well after losses, especially playoff losses, other than the 2016 Finals against the Cavs when they lost after being up 3 games to 1....I expect Golden State to bounce back from that tough loss on Tuesday....

Wednesday, May 23, 2018

Wednesday NBA playoffs....

Picks:

Side: Bos
Total: Bos ov

Boston undefeated at Home in the postseason is enough for me to pick them but I am passing on betting them....I think....May throw something small on it right before the tip....

Tuesday, May 22, 2018

Tuesday NBA...

Picks:

Side: Hou
Total: Hou un

No real strong opinion on this other than to say that this is a bounce-back spot for the Rockets off a franchise-worst 41-point loss 2 days ago....But again, the points have not mattered in any of the conference finals games as whoever has won has covered the spread all 7 games to this point...

Monday, May 21, 2018

Monday NBA playoffs....

Picks:

Side: Bos
Total: Bos ov

I try to make it a rule that whenever I switch a pick, I do not bet that game...Well, I was going to pick Boston to at least cover this game and then picked Cleveland to win and cover on my Excel spreadsheet....But after hearing Boston coach Brad Stevens is not announcing his starting lineup until game time, I have changed my mind again and picked Boston....

The Celtics got blown out by Milwaukee after being up 2-0 in Game 3 and then in Game 4, the Celtics were down 16 at the half and were down by as many as 19 before coming back and actually taking the lead in the final minute of the game before losing 104-102.

I think this game will be close....Either Boston gets up early and Cleveland fights back to take the lead an hang on to win, or the Cavs get up double-digits and Boston fights back and ends up just short in the final minute.... But I think Boston covers this one....I just cannot bet it because I have changed my mind twice on this game already....