NFL Week 11

Top 5:

KC -2.5
Jax -7
Mia -13.5
LAC -3
SF -11.5

Others:

Cin +4
Den -2.5

GL…

Tuesday NBA action...

 Strongest play of the NBA season thus far:

Miami Heat -1.5, laying $220 to win $200 (2 units) -- Strong situational spot with the "Quick-revenge game" as the Heat just lost to the Warriors 5 days ago at Golden State and now Miami get a chance for instant revenge at Home...And Jimmy Butler is frustrated as he said this 3 hours ago: 

“We’re still going to win the championship, and I don’t care what nobody says,” Butler says about his Heat while shaking his head. “Count us out. We’re going to win the f****** championship. I’m telling you. I don’t give a damn that we started 2-5…

GL...

Tuesday NBA Playoffs...

 Postseason records updated:

#1 Sides: 12-7, All Sides: 27-26

#1 Totals: 11-8, All Totals: 30-23

Tonight:

Sides:

1) Bos, 2) Memp

Totals:

1) Mem un, 2) Bos ov

Have won 4 straight #1 Sides and 6-2 last 8 #1 Totals...No bets here, but like Boston to rise up without Marcus Smart and win this game to even up the series...I think this the Bucks have a shot to lose and cover the spread, so no play...

I am looking for a bit of a slow down in Game 2 at Memphis, or at a minimum, better defense for both squads in this one as adjustments should be made and hopefully Draymond Green does not get tossed for the Warriors...

Friday NBA Playoffs

Wow, could not have been more wrong with Utah last night...They are being out-coached or out-played or both...My first inclination would be to take them in Game 4, but no way...I don't trust them now...

Will have to update my playoff record tomorrow, late on time here...

2 bets, square bets, but just because they are square bets, doesn't mean they will lose...

Milwaukee -2.5 (1 unit) and Phoenix -2.5 (1 unit)...

Sides:

1) Phoe, 2) Milw, 3) Atl

Totals:

1) Atl un, 2) Milw un, 3) Phoe un

GL...

Thursday Playoff Play...

I will update my playoff record tomorrow...Have not posted any plays until now...

Utah Jazz -4.5, 1H, laying $165 to win $150 and Utah Jazz -7.5, Gm, laying $55 to win $50 -- I do not see any way at all that Dallas wins this game or even comes close to winning this game unless Luca Doncic plays which seems unlikely...The Mavs were able to win one game at home without Doncic in Game 2...But let's be realistic here...Look at how they won this game...Jalen Brunson had the game of his life, scoring a career high 41 points on 60% shooting from the field (15-for-25 overall) AND from 3-point land (6-for-10) and added 8 rebounds and 5 assists... AND, Maxi Kleber came off the bench for the Mavs to score 25 points, hitting 8 of his 11 shots (all from behind the arc), and those 25 points are one point shy of his career high...

What are the odds that these 2 players can repeat what they did in Game 2 at home in Game 3, which is on the road at Utah?...Oh, I would say about a billion to 1...Throw in the fact that Mike Conley went 0-for-7 from the field, had 0 points and just 3 assists and was basically benched in the 4Q for Utah, and I ask again: What are the odds of Brunson and Kleber repeating basically their career-best games and Conley laying another goose-egg on back-to-back playoff games??....Slim and None and Slim just left town...

This is a 2-unit play, and the reason I am taking the 1H for 1.5 units and the Game Line for half-a-unit is because the Jazz have been blowing double digit 4Q leads left and right this season, including multiple times the last month of the season...So they could be up 22 to 24 points to start the 4Q and not cover that 7.5 point line...Now, I feel that is doubtful tonight as I think they will beat the Mavs by at least 15, if not 20+ in front of the home crowd tonight...The Jazz have a good coach who should be able to make an adjustment tonight to offset what Dallas is doing to expose Rudy Gobert on defense...

Also, I am not betting Denver tonight, because Golden State has really hit their stride during the final 5 games of the regular season and into the playoffs, but If the Nuggets are going to win one game in this series, tonight will be that one game...

GL...

All picks:

Sides:

1) Uta, 2) Den, 3) Mem

Totals:

1) Den ov, 2) Mem un, 3) Uta un 

Monday's NBA picks...

Long posting layoff, but have gotten scorching hot with totals until the All-Star break, and then had 2 horrible weeks after the break...#1 totals 5-2 the last 7 and I was 7-1 yesterday with ALL totals with the only loss being an Under with Philly/Orlando that was 15 points under in regulation before going Over in OT...

NBA Sides scorching hot again...I have won 10 straight #1's and 15-2 the last 17...Only time I have EVER had two 10+ game winning streaks the same season... My streaks over the last 30 years rarely hit 10 and my record is 11, which I tied this season, so I am going for #11 again tonight...5 of my last ten #1 picks have been the NY Knicks, who covered their last 5, most of those very easily and they were a DOG all 5 games, winning by double-digits the first 3 of those 5...

#1 NBA Sides in the regular season are now 90-45-2 (66.7%) and are 563-429-17 on the season (56.8%), up 91.1 units... In the Preseason, my #1 Sides were 9-4 (69.2%), and 38-25 overall (60.3%), up 10.5 units......

#1 NBA Totals, despite the big slump after the All-Star break where I lost 6 straight right after the break, are 72-63-2 (53.3%), up 2.7 units... 7-11 since the break as my high point was 13 games over .500 as I was hot going into the break...

Sides:

1) Chi, 2) Tor, 3) Min, 4) GS, 5) Mil, 6) OKC, 7) Por, 8) Phi, 9) LAC

Totals:

1) Mil ov, 2) Tor ov, 3) Chi ov, 4) OKC ov, 5) Min un, 6) GS ov, 7) Phi un, 8) Por ov, 9) LAC un

Tuesday's NBA...

Like my #1 total tonight...A LOT...Which means it loses big or loses in OT...

Sides: 

1) LAL, 2) NO, 3) Sac, 4) Dal, 5) Min, 6) Cha, 7) Was, 8) Det, 9) Hou

Totals:

1) Dal un, 2) Hou ov, 3) Min ov, 4) LAL un, 5) Sac ov, 6) Det ov, 7) Was un, 8) Cha un,              9) NO ov