Sides:
1) Det, 2) Utah, 3) Sac, 4) Dal
Totals:
1) Sac un, 2) Utah un, 3) Dal ov, 4) Det ov
All 4 Sides I consider to be games where you pick these 4 teams or you stay off the game...I just don't think you can go the other way on any of these and bet real money...And when nights like this have happened in the past, I usually have a good night so I am hoping for no worse than a 3-1 night...We'll see...I may have to bet Detroit and Utah here...
Sunday, December 30, 2012
Saturday, December 29, 2012
Saturday rankings...
Sides:
1) Memp, 2) Min, 3) Chi, 4) OKC, 5) Bkn, 6) Ind, 7) Phi, 8) Bos, 9) Char, 10) Tor, 11) Milw
Totals:
1) Memp ov, 2) OKC ov, 3) Min un, 4) Char ov, 5) Bos un, 6) Phi ov, 7) Chi un, 8) Milw un, 9) Tor ov, 10) Bkn ov, 11) Ind ov
Notes:
Very rare for me to have chalk in my top 5 sides with 11 games on the Board...So with that said, I think I will pass one more time on game bets and look for 2H plays...
Phoenix is 0-6 ATS in back-enders this season...Denver has already beaten Memphis twice this year and I had Denver on the moneyline as a 7-point Dog at Memphis in November, but I wonder if Denver's horrific schedule will catch up to them here...Nuggets 6-1 ATS on back-enders, but Memphis is 3-0-1 ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not...
1) Memp, 2) Min, 3) Chi, 4) OKC, 5) Bkn, 6) Ind, 7) Phi, 8) Bos, 9) Char, 10) Tor, 11) Milw
Totals:
1) Memp ov, 2) OKC ov, 3) Min un, 4) Char ov, 5) Bos un, 6) Phi ov, 7) Chi un, 8) Milw un, 9) Tor ov, 10) Bkn ov, 11) Ind ov
Notes:
Very rare for me to have chalk in my top 5 sides with 11 games on the Board...So with that said, I think I will pass one more time on game bets and look for 2H plays...
Phoenix is 0-6 ATS in back-enders this season...Denver has already beaten Memphis twice this year and I had Denver on the moneyline as a 7-point Dog at Memphis in November, but I wonder if Denver's horrific schedule will catch up to them here...Nuggets 6-1 ATS on back-enders, but Memphis is 3-0-1 ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not...
Friday, December 28, 2012
Friday rankings and notes...
Sides:
1) Ind, 2) Bkn, 3) Hou, 4) Utah, 5) Cle, 6) Sac, 7) Was, 8) Phi, 9) NO, 10) Mia, 11) Dal, 12) Port
Totals:
1) Den ov, 2) Bkn ov, 3) Phi un, 4) Cle ov, 5) Mia un, 6) Hou ov, 7) NO un, 8) Was un, 9) Sac ov, 10) Utah un, 11) Port ov, 12) Ind ov
Notes:
Obviously, the "new coach angle" has surfaced tonight in Brooklyn...This trend has been money in recent years, going 3-0 in the NFL last season and either 3-0 or 4-0 in the NBA last season...No NFL coaching changes this year, although we had a player killed before 2 games (KC & DAL) and a coach stepping aside for a leave of absence to fight cancer (IND) and those 3 teams all won and covered...
With all of that said, if there is ever a game where this trend will NOT cover, it is tonight, as Brooklyn is favored by 10 against a team who has lost 16 in a row...But with that said, it's either take Brooklyn or lay off the game...Charlotte certainly can be blown out at any time...
1) Ind, 2) Bkn, 3) Hou, 4) Utah, 5) Cle, 6) Sac, 7) Was, 8) Phi, 9) NO, 10) Mia, 11) Dal, 12) Port
Totals:
1) Den ov, 2) Bkn ov, 3) Phi un, 4) Cle ov, 5) Mia un, 6) Hou ov, 7) NO un, 8) Was un, 9) Sac ov, 10) Utah un, 11) Port ov, 12) Ind ov
Notes:
Obviously, the "new coach angle" has surfaced tonight in Brooklyn...This trend has been money in recent years, going 3-0 in the NFL last season and either 3-0 or 4-0 in the NBA last season...No NFL coaching changes this year, although we had a player killed before 2 games (KC & DAL) and a coach stepping aside for a leave of absence to fight cancer (IND) and those 3 teams all won and covered...
With all of that said, if there is ever a game where this trend will NOT cover, it is tonight, as Brooklyn is favored by 10 against a team who has lost 16 in a row...But with that said, it's either take Brooklyn or lay off the game...Charlotte certainly can be blown out at any time...
Thursday, December 27, 2012
Thursday rankings...
I am close to breaking out...Kinda feel it...Hope I am not jinxing myself...Going to lay off the bets for another night though...
Sides:
1) Dal, 2) Bos
Totals:
1) Bos un, 2) Dal un
Nothing strong enough to make me feel comfortable betting real money on tonight...Had OKC beat Miami, I would have bet Dallas...The Mavs are off a 38-point loss, have Nowitzki back for a 2nd game and have that revenge trend where they are playing the team who eliminated them from the playoffs last season for the first time this season...That trend did NOT work for OKC on Christmas, although Durant's late FT miss changed the complexion of the final minute and the homer refs, who will never call a foul on Wade or LeBron in the final seconds of a game, even if a rape and pillage is taking place in full view of everyone...
I want to take Boston, too, but the Clips are just on a tear...They can blow out Boston here...Clips on a front-ender, so they won't be over-extending starters, not that they need to ever with the bench they have...
But I like both Dogs, despite the fact that the potential is there for both of 'em to lose by 25...
Sides:
1) Dal, 2) Bos
Totals:
1) Bos un, 2) Dal un
Nothing strong enough to make me feel comfortable betting real money on tonight...Had OKC beat Miami, I would have bet Dallas...The Mavs are off a 38-point loss, have Nowitzki back for a 2nd game and have that revenge trend where they are playing the team who eliminated them from the playoffs last season for the first time this season...That trend did NOT work for OKC on Christmas, although Durant's late FT miss changed the complexion of the final minute and the homer refs, who will never call a foul on Wade or LeBron in the final seconds of a game, even if a rape and pillage is taking place in full view of everyone...
I want to take Boston, too, but the Clips are just on a tear...They can blow out Boston here...Clips on a front-ender, so they won't be over-extending starters, not that they need to ever with the bench they have...
But I like both Dogs, despite the fact that the potential is there for both of 'em to lose by 25...
Wednesday, December 26, 2012
Wednesday rankings...
Yesterday a microcosm of the past several weeks as I went 7-3 overall with my picks but 0-2 with my 2 bets...Also went 0-2 with two 2H bets and got so frustrated, I passed on Denver 2H as that qualified easily as a 2H play and of course won...
Just because I am due to break out of my cold streak doesn't mean I will...So I think I'll pass until I feel that I am legitimately getting hot, although I will say, I think I am on the verge as I track all my picks daily and after 7 or 8 straight mediocre days around .500 with all my picks, I am 8-4 and 7-3 the last 2 days...Just need to start betting the right picks...
Sides:
1) Den, 2) NO, 3) Chi, 4) Phi, 5) Phoe, 6) Utah, 7) Was, 8) Min, 9) Port, 10) Atl, 11) Milw, 12) SA, 13) Mia
Totals:
1) Chi un, 2) Phi ov, 3) Min ov, 4) NO un, 5) Atl un, 6) Phoe ov, 7) Utah ov, 8) Port un, 9) SA ov, 10) Den ov, 11) Milw un, 12) Mia un, 13) Was un
Notes:
Bulls & Pacers top 2 in the league in FG% allowed and the Bulls should be plenty motivated to step it up defensively after their last 2 games and especially after last night...I may have had DEN one night too early...Nuggets 5-1 ATS on back-enders and the Lakers 2-3 ATS in back-enders and the Nuggets have a revenge spot after the Lakers blew them out at Staples in late November...DEN 8-1 SU at Home, too, with a low number to get over tonight...Big-time chart-plays on Philly and the Memphis Over as MEMP had an Under7 snapped last time out...My only concern is that Philly is already on a smaller chart-play to the Under and the Memphis game that went Over was against Houston, so heck, everyone goes over against them and that was a back-ender for MEMP, too...
Just because I am due to break out of my cold streak doesn't mean I will...So I think I'll pass until I feel that I am legitimately getting hot, although I will say, I think I am on the verge as I track all my picks daily and after 7 or 8 straight mediocre days around .500 with all my picks, I am 8-4 and 7-3 the last 2 days...Just need to start betting the right picks...
Sides:
1) Den, 2) NO, 3) Chi, 4) Phi, 5) Phoe, 6) Utah, 7) Was, 8) Min, 9) Port, 10) Atl, 11) Milw, 12) SA, 13) Mia
Totals:
1) Chi un, 2) Phi ov, 3) Min ov, 4) NO un, 5) Atl un, 6) Phoe ov, 7) Utah ov, 8) Port un, 9) SA ov, 10) Den ov, 11) Milw un, 12) Mia un, 13) Was un
Notes:
Bulls & Pacers top 2 in the league in FG% allowed and the Bulls should be plenty motivated to step it up defensively after their last 2 games and especially after last night...I may have had DEN one night too early...Nuggets 5-1 ATS on back-enders and the Lakers 2-3 ATS in back-enders and the Nuggets have a revenge spot after the Lakers blew them out at Staples in late November...DEN 8-1 SU at Home, too, with a low number to get over tonight...Big-time chart-plays on Philly and the Memphis Over as MEMP had an Under7 snapped last time out...My only concern is that Philly is already on a smaller chart-play to the Under and the Memphis game that went Over was against Houston, so heck, everyone goes over against them and that was a back-ender for MEMP, too...
Tuesday, December 25, 2012
Tuesday rankings and plays...
Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays...Hopefully I have 2 Christmas presents for everyone today...
Sides:
1) Den, 2) OKC, 3) Hou, 4) Bos, 5) LAL
Totals:
1) OKC un, 2) Bos un, 3) LAL un, 4) Den un, 5) Hou ov
To me, there are 4 no-brainer plays and I should just play all 4 -- the top 2 sides & top 2 totals...But I'll pass on the 2 totals and play the 2 sides...My cliff-notes thoughts on those totals are simple -- Bos/Bkn is the early afternoon game, therefore the Under (not to mention that Bkn has played 6 straight Unders in regulation time) and the OKC/Mia game has a Miami team that has finally turned up the defensive intensity...They have gone Under 5 out of their last 6 (all at Home) and even OKC has gone Under 3 straight and 4 of 5...
Plays:
Denver Nuggets +7, laying $110 to win $100 -- I will sprinkle a little on the moneyline here as the Nuggets certainly have a good chance to win this game outright...The Clips have won a franchise record 13 straight games and remember I said right here on this blog after they won Game #2 of this streak that the Clips were about to go on a roll...If you don't believe me, go to my post on DEC 3rd...But all good things must come to an end at some point...I mentioned a few days back that the OKC streak would be ending any day when they hit 12 in a row and they did lose their next time out...It is hard to keep winning games in the NBA once you have a win streak over 10...The Nuggets have been playing better of late, too, winning 4 of 5...And don't get me wrong, the Clips winning streak is impressive, but they have only beat 4 teams with winning records during this streak and the Clips had favorable situational spots over 2 of those teams...2 of those 4 teams are just 1 game over .500 (Minny and Utah) and Milwaukee is 2 games over .500 and the best team they beat was Chicago, who is 15-11...Denver is just 2 games over .500, but their record is deceiving as the schedule-makers gave them a horrific slate to start the season as this will already be Denver's 20th Road game, compared to just 9 Home games thus far...DEN has covered 6 of their last 7 and has 2 days rest for this one, so the Clips don't catch them in a favorable spot...7 points is just too much here, IMO, for a team who can win this game outright...
Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5, laying $100 to win $102 -- Feel free to take the Moneyline and I almost did, but the reason I did not is because the Heat are playing MUCH better recently...Much better...And the Heat, at Home, have found ways to pull out games even when they were not playing that well...They can turn it up a notch at Home and pull the game out in the final minutes, so to me, getting 2 1/2 at plus juice is fine in case the game comes down to the final shot and Miami has the ball and wins it at the buzzer...I believe OKC will win this one...The angle is the classic "take the team playing an opponent who eliminated them from the playoffs the season before in the first match-up of the new season"...Classic revenge spot that does well...This game should be down to the wire...I like OKC to win it...
GL...
Sides:
1) Den, 2) OKC, 3) Hou, 4) Bos, 5) LAL
Totals:
1) OKC un, 2) Bos un, 3) LAL un, 4) Den un, 5) Hou ov
To me, there are 4 no-brainer plays and I should just play all 4 -- the top 2 sides & top 2 totals...But I'll pass on the 2 totals and play the 2 sides...My cliff-notes thoughts on those totals are simple -- Bos/Bkn is the early afternoon game, therefore the Under (not to mention that Bkn has played 6 straight Unders in regulation time) and the OKC/Mia game has a Miami team that has finally turned up the defensive intensity...They have gone Under 5 out of their last 6 (all at Home) and even OKC has gone Under 3 straight and 4 of 5...
Plays:
Denver Nuggets +7, laying $110 to win $100 -- I will sprinkle a little on the moneyline here as the Nuggets certainly have a good chance to win this game outright...The Clips have won a franchise record 13 straight games and remember I said right here on this blog after they won Game #2 of this streak that the Clips were about to go on a roll...If you don't believe me, go to my post on DEC 3rd...But all good things must come to an end at some point...I mentioned a few days back that the OKC streak would be ending any day when they hit 12 in a row and they did lose their next time out...It is hard to keep winning games in the NBA once you have a win streak over 10...The Nuggets have been playing better of late, too, winning 4 of 5...And don't get me wrong, the Clips winning streak is impressive, but they have only beat 4 teams with winning records during this streak and the Clips had favorable situational spots over 2 of those teams...2 of those 4 teams are just 1 game over .500 (Minny and Utah) and Milwaukee is 2 games over .500 and the best team they beat was Chicago, who is 15-11...Denver is just 2 games over .500, but their record is deceiving as the schedule-makers gave them a horrific slate to start the season as this will already be Denver's 20th Road game, compared to just 9 Home games thus far...DEN has covered 6 of their last 7 and has 2 days rest for this one, so the Clips don't catch them in a favorable spot...7 points is just too much here, IMO, for a team who can win this game outright...
Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5, laying $100 to win $102 -- Feel free to take the Moneyline and I almost did, but the reason I did not is because the Heat are playing MUCH better recently...Much better...And the Heat, at Home, have found ways to pull out games even when they were not playing that well...They can turn it up a notch at Home and pull the game out in the final minutes, so to me, getting 2 1/2 at plus juice is fine in case the game comes down to the final shot and Miami has the ball and wins it at the buzzer...I believe OKC will win this one...The angle is the classic "take the team playing an opponent who eliminated them from the playoffs the season before in the first match-up of the new season"...Classic revenge spot that does well...This game should be down to the wire...I like OKC to win it...
GL...
Sunday, December 23, 2012
Sunday rankings...
Sides:
1) Phi, 2) Dal, 3) Phoe, 4) Min, 5) Utah, 6) Sac
Totals:
1) Phi un, 2) Utah un, 3) Dal ov, 4) Phoe un, 5) Min un, 6) Sac un
Will stalk for 2H plays...
1) Phi, 2) Dal, 3) Phoe, 4) Min, 5) Utah, 6) Sac
Totals:
1) Phi un, 2) Utah un, 3) Dal ov, 4) Phoe un, 5) Min un, 6) Sac un
Will stalk for 2H plays...
Sunday...
Just realized this game ran, but I like Philly and the Under a lot, as we do have the afternoon Under angle again and a chart-play on Philly here...I did forget to bet them as I was swamped at work...Maybe I'll grab a 2H play if the score and lines are in my favor...
Back with rankings in a bit...
Back with rankings in a bit...
Friday, December 21, 2012
Friday rankings...
Sides:
1) Memp, 2) Was, 3) Char, 4) Sac, 5) NO, 6) Tor, 7) Bos, 8) Cle, 9) Atl, 10) NY
Totals:
1) Tor un, 2) Sac un, 3) Atl un, 4) NY un, 5) Was un, 6) Memp un, 7) Char un, 8) NO ov, 9) Bos un, 10) Cle ov
I believe I will stalk for 2H plays again...
1) Memp, 2) Was, 3) Char, 4) Sac, 5) NO, 6) Tor, 7) Bos, 8) Cle, 9) Atl, 10) NY
Totals:
1) Tor un, 2) Sac un, 3) Atl un, 4) NY un, 5) Was un, 6) Memp un, 7) Char un, 8) NO ov, 9) Bos un, 10) Cle ov
I believe I will stalk for 2H plays again...
Thursday, December 20, 2012
Thursday rankings...
Sides:
1) Den, 2) Mia, 3) OKC
Totals:
1) OKC ov, 2) Mia ov, 3) Den un
My last two #1 Sides have come in and I liked Denver a lot 2 nights ago and MEMP was fairly easy from the 2Q onwards although it got interesting down the stretch...
Denver is heating up...They have had a terrible schedule with an insane number of Road games...Just when I thought they were getting some Home games, they play at SAC on TUE and are at PORT tonight...As soon as Denver gets Home for a while, they will go on a tear...PORT is missing Aldridge tonight, and that is just huge...Wes Matthews still questionable...Other than Lillard and Batum, where are the points going to come from?...They combined for 27 last time out...Sure, J.J. Hickson had 24 points, but he had 8 offensive boards which led to a lot of those points...I'll stick with Denver until they don't cover and they have covered 5 straight coming into tonight...
I have been taking Miami way too many times this year as this has been a team in coast-mode for a good month now, but at some point they are going to start showing up more regularly...The Heat should be able to maul this Dallas team, but I am not sure if I can bet Miami here although to me, they are the only play in that game...
And OKC has won 12 straight...Whenever a win-streak hits 10 in the NBA, I get wary...OKC is rolling for sure, but now they go on the Road after 5 straight Home games and have a back-ender to boot against a solid Minnesota team with a day's rest...This win-streak isn't going to last much longer and tonight could be a night they got upset, although it would be a mild upset with Minny as a 3-point FAV...
1) Den, 2) Mia, 3) OKC
Totals:
1) OKC ov, 2) Mia ov, 3) Den un
My last two #1 Sides have come in and I liked Denver a lot 2 nights ago and MEMP was fairly easy from the 2Q onwards although it got interesting down the stretch...
Denver is heating up...They have had a terrible schedule with an insane number of Road games...Just when I thought they were getting some Home games, they play at SAC on TUE and are at PORT tonight...As soon as Denver gets Home for a while, they will go on a tear...PORT is missing Aldridge tonight, and that is just huge...Wes Matthews still questionable...Other than Lillard and Batum, where are the points going to come from?...They combined for 27 last time out...Sure, J.J. Hickson had 24 points, but he had 8 offensive boards which led to a lot of those points...I'll stick with Denver until they don't cover and they have covered 5 straight coming into tonight...
I have been taking Miami way too many times this year as this has been a team in coast-mode for a good month now, but at some point they are going to start showing up more regularly...The Heat should be able to maul this Dallas team, but I am not sure if I can bet Miami here although to me, they are the only play in that game...
And OKC has won 12 straight...Whenever a win-streak hits 10 in the NBA, I get wary...OKC is rolling for sure, but now they go on the Road after 5 straight Home games and have a back-ender to boot against a solid Minnesota team with a day's rest...This win-streak isn't going to last much longer and tonight could be a night they got upset, although it would be a mild upset with Minny as a 3-point FAV...
Wednesday, December 19, 2012
Tuesday, December 18, 2012
Tuesday rankings...
Sorry for lateness...No bets until I win a #1 Sides play or maybe if I like a total because the totals are doing well for me the last 3 weeks...I like DEN in this revenge spot and the Nuggets are playing well, while SA is suddenly struggling...If Ginobili is OUT, I'll probably play DEN...But man, my Sides have been TERRIBLE the last 3 weeks...When I break out, I'll probably get scorching hot, but there are no signs of breaking out yet...
Sides:
1) Den, 2) Mia, 3) Was, 4) Bkn 5) LAL, 6) NO, 7) Bos, 8) Ind, 9) Phi, 10) Tor
Totals:
1) Tor un, 2) Was un, 3) Mia ov, 4) Phi ov, 5) Den ov, 6) Bos un, 7) NO ov, 8) Ind un, 9) LAL ov, 10) Bkn un
Sides:
1) Den, 2) Mia, 3) Was, 4) Bkn 5) LAL, 6) NO, 7) Bos, 8) Ind, 9) Phi, 10) Tor
Totals:
1) Tor un, 2) Was un, 3) Mia ov, 4) Phi ov, 5) Den ov, 6) Bos un, 7) NO ov, 8) Ind un, 9) LAL ov, 10) Bkn un
Monday, December 17, 2012
Melo out tonight...
Carmelo Anthony OUT for the Knicks tonight and the line is dropping...
Still like the Knicks to win and cover but without Melo, I am not betting it now...
Still like the Knicks to win and cover but without Melo, I am not betting it now...
Mondays rankings & notes...
#1 Sides continue to struggle while #1 Totals have turned the corner about a week or so ahead of schedule as I said to start looking at my totals in mid-DEC and my #1 totals are 12-6 the last 18 days...#1 sides have been atrocious with all the 1/2-point & less than 1-bucket losses the last 18 days s that cold streak started the day my #1 totals started doing well...
I am still not going to bet a #1 Side unless I am also betting the #2 and/or #3 sides with it or until I see signs of the #1 Side heating up which I haven't seen yet...The thing is, I actually like all of my sides tonight and feel like I should go at least 4-2 with these 6 games, but we'll see, I may just play 2H lines or put together a teaser...
Notes:
HOU is 1-4 ATS on back-enders...NYK have a revenge spot here as the Rockets trounced them by 28 points at the Toyota Center just over 3 weeks ago...Minny gets Kevin Love back while ORL probably doesn't have Affalo tonight...Spurs are without Ginobili tonight, but are good enough to rise up without him for a night...
Sides:
1) Min, 2 NY, 3) SA, 4) Chi, 5) Sac, 6) LAC
Totals:
1) NY ov, 2) Chi un, 3) Min un, 4) LAC un, 5) Sac un, 6) SA un
Sunday, December 16, 2012
Sunday rankings...
Sides:
1) Phi, 2) Tor, 3) Port, 4) Sac
Totals:
1) Phi ov, 2) Sac ov, 3) Port un, 4) Tor un
I'll look for 2H bets...
NFL trap of the day game -- Take the Houston Texans as that line is telling me that they are apparently going to win by double-digits...
1) Phi, 2) Tor, 3) Port, 4) Sac
Totals:
1) Phi ov, 2) Sac ov, 3) Port un, 4) Tor un
I'll look for 2H bets...
NFL trap of the day game -- Take the Houston Texans as that line is telling me that they are apparently going to win by double-digits...
Saturday, December 15, 2012
NBA Saturday rankings...
A few quick notes:
GS 6-1 ATS following a loss this season...ATL 3-7-1 ATS at Home...
WAS 4-0 ATS in back-enders...MIA 3-3 ATS in check-mark games (where they have rest playing a team on a back-ender)...Miami lost to the Wiz 11 days ago and are coming off a loss at home vs GS...
Sides:
1) Dal, 2) GS, 3) SA, 4) Chi, 5) Mia, 6) Milw, 7) Memp, 8) NY, 9) Ind, 10) Orl
Totals:
1) Memp un, 2) Milw un, 3) Orl un, 4) GS un, 5) SA un, 6) Chi un, 7) Dal un, 8) NY ov, 9) Mia un, 10) Ind ov
I will pass on plays again and see if I can hit another #1 Side...
Kevin Love is struggling in Minnesota and if Rubio is playing tonight, this will effect their rotations and Dallas is off a bad loss last night so I like Dallas...
GS 6-1 ATS following a loss this season...ATL 3-7-1 ATS at Home...
WAS 4-0 ATS in back-enders...MIA 3-3 ATS in check-mark games (where they have rest playing a team on a back-ender)...Miami lost to the Wiz 11 days ago and are coming off a loss at home vs GS...
Sides:
1) Dal, 2) GS, 3) SA, 4) Chi, 5) Mia, 6) Milw, 7) Memp, 8) NY, 9) Ind, 10) Orl
Totals:
1) Memp un, 2) Milw un, 3) Orl un, 4) GS un, 5) SA un, 6) Chi un, 7) Dal un, 8) NY ov, 9) Mia un, 10) Ind ov
I will pass on plays again and see if I can hit another #1 Side...
Kevin Love is struggling in Minnesota and if Rubio is playing tonight, this will effect their rotations and Dallas is off a bad loss last night so I like Dallas...
Bowl Games...
My general rule of thumb for Bowl games is, "when in doubt, take the Dog and the Over"...
And don't be afraid to sprinkle a moneyline play on some of these dogs...
I forgot this early game started at 1 p.m. but I did play it last night...I probably should post some NCAAF and NFL plays on here from time to time...I don't play many, but I should post these plays...
Should you bet every Dog?...Should you bet every Under?...
No, but there have been years where both or either have cleaned up...To maximize the profits, stay away from the Dogs who finished 5th or 6th or worse in weak conferences if they are up against a team from a better conference...And I really don't consider teams getting 4 points or less a dog because in a Bowl Game on a neutral field, that is not enough points to be a dog, IMO...
And don't be afraid to sprinkle a moneyline play on some of these dogs...
I forgot this early game started at 1 p.m. but I did play it last night...I probably should post some NCAAF and NFL plays on here from time to time...I don't play many, but I should post these plays...
Should you bet every Dog?...Should you bet every Under?...
No, but there have been years where both or either have cleaned up...To maximize the profits, stay away from the Dogs who finished 5th or 6th or worse in weak conferences if they are up against a team from a better conference...And I really don't consider teams getting 4 points or less a dog because in a Bowl Game on a neutral field, that is not enough points to be a dog, IMO...
Friday, December 14, 2012
Friday totals...
Totals:
1) GS un, 2) Was ov, 3) Den un, 4) Sac ov, 5) Bos ov, 6) Cle ov, 7) Phoe un, 8) Phi un, 9) Tor un, 10) Bkn un, 11) Min un
1) GS un, 2) Was ov, 3) Den un, 4) Sac ov, 5) Bos ov, 6) Cle ov, 7) Phoe un, 8) Phi un, 9) Tor un, 10) Bkn un, 11) Min un
Friday Sides...
No bets until I win a #1 Sides pick, then I'll start making some plays again...Losing 13 plays by 1/2 a point or 1 point in the last 17 days is a little tough to take and I had bk-2-bk #1 side plays lose by half-a-point mid-week...
Sides:
1) Phoe, 2) Bkn, 3) Sac, 4) Bos, 5) den, 6) Cle, 7) GS, 8) Tor, 9) Phi, 10) Was, 11) NO
Sides:
1) Phoe, 2) Bkn, 3) Sac, 4) Bos, 5) den, 6) Cle, 7) GS, 8) Tor, 9) Phi, 10) Was, 11) NO
Thursday, December 13, 2012
Thursday rankings...
Sides:
1) Char, 2) SA, 3) LAL
Totals:
1) SA ov, 2) LAL un, 3) Char ov
I may pass on bets as I am beyond frustrated right now as I have my 13th loss by 1/2 a point or 1 point or 1.5 points in the last 17 days (including 2H bets, which I usually don't post)...I like to think that these are going to even out this season and have said this 2 or 3 times now, but they keep happening as I had yet another last night on Brooklyn after having yet another the night before with the Knicks...Getting a bit unreal...I'm accepting the idea that it is NOT going to even out this season...
I am overdue for a good night on all picks, so since most of these picks tonight were "take this side as it is the only side to play" kind of picks, I feel this might be a good night, but who knows as there may be another 1/2-point loss or 2 in the works...
Notes:
Spurs are 4-0-1 ATS and 4-1 to the Over in back-enders this season...Atlanta has one win all season by more than 10 points (and that was 11 over the Clips)...The Hawks just don't have the type of team that is going to blow anyone out...I don't know why I keep picking the Lakers because they STINK, but I feel compelled to take them tonight after Kobe called everyone out after yet another embarrassing loss at Cleveland...And if the Lakers are going to win or cover, it'll have to be an Under because the Lake-Show are going to have to win games on the defensive end because other than Kobe, they simply don't have enough weapons on offense to out-gun teams...
Wednesday, December 12, 2012
Wed Totals...
1) Bkn un, 2) Atl un, 3) Den ov, 4) OKC ov, 5) Was ov, 6) Bos ov, 7) LAC un, 8) SA ov, 9) Phoe un, 10) Milw un, 11) Cle ov, 12) Phi un, 13) Mia un
No time for bets today, but I will stalk for 2H plays..
No time for bets today, but I will stalk for 2H plays..
Wednesday Sides...
Super-busy day at work, may not have time to post anything today, we'll see if I can get a few free minutes as I am looking at the Board now...
Ok, have Sides done, I'll try and get totals next...
1) Bkn, 2) Phoe, 3) Cle, 4) OKC, 5) Den, 6) Was, 7) Bos, 8) LAC, 9) Mia, 10) Phi, 11) Atl, 12) SA, 13) Milw
Ok, have Sides done, I'll try and get totals next...
1) Bkn, 2) Phoe, 3) Cle, 4) OKC, 5) Den, 6) Was, 7) Bos, 8) LAC, 9) Mia, 10) Phi, 11) Atl, 12) SA, 13) Milw
Tuesday, December 11, 2012
Tuesday rankings and plays...
Sides:
1) NY, 2) Den, 3) LAL, 4) Was, 5) LAC
Totals:
1) Was ov, 2) NY un, 3) Den ov, 4) LAC un, 5) LAL ov
Plays:
I hate playing Road FAVs and I hate laying the points in these 3 games, but I am playing the situational spots over the lines in these games:
New York Knicks -3.5, laying $100 to win $100 -- Big revenge spot for the Knicks here after losing in OT at Brooklyn 2 weeks ago and the Knicks are amped for this re-match...Brooklyn struggling mightily without Lopez as they have lost 4 straight and it's still a chart-play to fade them...
Denver Nuggets -5, laying $104 to win $100 -- Denver in another bounce-back spot trying to get back to .500 and DET playing their 4th game in 5 nights, this one at Home, which is often a spot to fade and I will do just that...
LA Lakers -6, laying $105 to win $100 -- Not crazy about this line at all...Lakers are terrible right now...Cleveland gets Irving back tonight and that creates a situational spot where "you fade the team wehere a star player returns to the line-up after a prolonged injury"...I'll take the situational spot and take the Lakers off yet another embarrassing loss...Getting on the Road might help LAL right now...
GL...
1) NY, 2) Den, 3) LAL, 4) Was, 5) LAC
Totals:
1) Was ov, 2) NY un, 3) Den ov, 4) LAC un, 5) LAL ov
Plays:
I hate playing Road FAVs and I hate laying the points in these 3 games, but I am playing the situational spots over the lines in these games:
New York Knicks -3.5, laying $100 to win $100 -- Big revenge spot for the Knicks here after losing in OT at Brooklyn 2 weeks ago and the Knicks are amped for this re-match...Brooklyn struggling mightily without Lopez as they have lost 4 straight and it's still a chart-play to fade them...
Denver Nuggets -5, laying $104 to win $100 -- Denver in another bounce-back spot trying to get back to .500 and DET playing their 4th game in 5 nights, this one at Home, which is often a spot to fade and I will do just that...
LA Lakers -6, laying $105 to win $100 -- Not crazy about this line at all...Lakers are terrible right now...Cleveland gets Irving back tonight and that creates a situational spot where "you fade the team wehere a star player returns to the line-up after a prolonged injury"...I'll take the situational spot and take the Lakers off yet another embarrassing loss...Getting on the Road might help LAL right now...
GL...
Monday, December 10, 2012
Monday rankings...
Sides:
1) Tor, 2) Char, 3) Det, 4) Mia, 5) Dal, 6) Hou
Totals:
1) Tor un, 2) Char ov, 3) Det ov, 4) Hou ov, 5) Dal ov, 6) Mia un
After going 13-8-1 on SAT and 15-5 on SAT with all picks, I slipped to 5-7 yesterday...I like my totals tonight...If Wes Matthews doesn't play tonight, then I really love this Under in PORT because Batum is already doubtful, too...Hickson is banged up, but probable for the Blazers, who have no bench whatsoever...Sacramento killed this team in the 2H on SAT after Batum left...And they killed them with Tereke Evans out...This Blazers team just is not deep at all and their bench struggles to keep them in games...Their starters usually log heavy minutes and now you have 2 starters doubtful and and another dinged up a little but probable...Just don't know where the points are going to come from...And sure, teams usually rise up to win when they have injuries the first game when guys are out, but those teams usually have better benches than this team...I think Toronto wins this game...
Not sure what I am betting yet, as I would want to see who is starting for PORT before I bet this game, but I am at work tonight and won't be able to see who is starting as I won't be home quite in time to put the pre-game show and check out who is in the lineup...So I may just stalk for 2H plays tonight, we'll see...
1) Tor, 2) Char, 3) Det, 4) Mia, 5) Dal, 6) Hou
Totals:
1) Tor un, 2) Char ov, 3) Det ov, 4) Hou ov, 5) Dal ov, 6) Mia un
After going 13-8-1 on SAT and 15-5 on SAT with all picks, I slipped to 5-7 yesterday...I like my totals tonight...If Wes Matthews doesn't play tonight, then I really love this Under in PORT because Batum is already doubtful, too...Hickson is banged up, but probable for the Blazers, who have no bench whatsoever...Sacramento killed this team in the 2H on SAT after Batum left...And they killed them with Tereke Evans out...This Blazers team just is not deep at all and their bench struggles to keep them in games...Their starters usually log heavy minutes and now you have 2 starters doubtful and and another dinged up a little but probable...Just don't know where the points are going to come from...And sure, teams usually rise up to win when they have injuries the first game when guys are out, but those teams usually have better benches than this team...I think Toronto wins this game...
Not sure what I am betting yet, as I would want to see who is starting for PORT before I bet this game, but I am at work tonight and won't be able to see who is starting as I won't be home quite in time to put the pre-game show and check out who is in the lineup...So I may just stalk for 2H plays tonight, we'll see...
Sunday, December 9, 2012
Sunday rankings and plays...
Sides:
1) Den, 2) Ind, 3) Utah, 4) Milw, 5) Tor, 6) Phoe
Totals:
1) Tor ov, 2) Utah ov, 3) Den ov, 4) Milw ov, 5) Phoe un, 6) Ind un
I am shunning the afternoon Under trend a second day in a row, but won't bet that one...
I am taking Denver +5 and Indy +10...Chart-plays for both...Knicks 4th game in 5 nights, too, at MSG...OKC just had a C6 snapped at Home vs. the Lakers...Indy's defense will be tested tonight for sure, but I think they can give OKC a game...
GL...
1) Den, 2) Ind, 3) Utah, 4) Milw, 5) Tor, 6) Phoe
Totals:
1) Tor ov, 2) Utah ov, 3) Den ov, 4) Milw ov, 5) Phoe un, 6) Ind un
I am shunning the afternoon Under trend a second day in a row, but won't bet that one...
I am taking Denver +5 and Indy +10...Chart-plays for both...Knicks 4th game in 5 nights, too, at MSG...OKC just had a C6 snapped at Home vs. the Lakers...Indy's defense will be tested tonight for sure, but I think they can give OKC a game...
GL...
Saturday, December 8, 2012
Saturday rankings...
Sides:
1) Sac, 2) NY, 3) Bos, 4) Was, 5) LAC, 6) Dal, 7) Atl, 8) NO, 9) SA, 10) Det
Totals:
1) Was ov, 2) SA ov, 3) NY un, 4) Sac un, 5) LAC ov, 6) NO ov, 7) Det ov, 8) Bos ov, 9) Atl ov, 10) Dal un
Don't like many totals at all for the night games, but I kind of like my top 4 sides...
No plays for the night games as I will stalk for possible 2H plays...
1) Sac, 2) NY, 3) Bos, 4) Was, 5) LAC, 6) Dal, 7) Atl, 8) NO, 9) SA, 10) Det
Totals:
1) Was ov, 2) SA ov, 3) NY un, 4) Sac un, 5) LAC ov, 6) NO ov, 7) Det ov, 8) Bos ov, 9) Atl ov, 10) Dal un
Don't like many totals at all for the night games, but I kind of like my top 4 sides...
No plays for the night games as I will stalk for possible 2H plays...
Saturday look...
I am just starting to look at the board now and like the Clips and the Over, despite knowing that there is an automatic play on the Under here (because of the early afternoon game) but the Clips are starting to score some points...5 Overs and a push the last 6 and I mentioned earlier in the week that the Clips are about to get rolling...
Be back with rankings soon...
Be back with rankings soon...
Friday, December 7, 2012
Friday rankings & plays...
2 plays:
I am going to take the Denver Nuggets moneyline as they have lost 4 of 5 and are too good a team to keep losing like this and they are fighting yet again to reach .500 tonight which is always a good motivational factor...Indy has won 4 of 5, but CHI was the only team currently with a winning record they have beaten during this stretch and the Bulls are 9-8...
I am also going to take a shot with the HOU/SA Over the 212 and I already talked about this game down below in my write-up as I edited these 2 plays in here up top at 5:23 p.m. EST...
GL...
Sides:
1) Den, 2) SA, 3) Char, 4) Tor, 5) NO, 6) Was, 7) Sac, 8) LAL, 9) Cle, 10) GS, 11) Det, 12) Phi
Totals:
1) SA ov, 2) Det un, 3) Char ov, 4) Sac un, 5) NO un, 6) LAL ov, 7) Tor ov, 8) Was ov, 9) Den ov, 10) GS un, 11) Phi ov, 12) Cle un
Not crazy about too many sides tonight, but am thinking about a play on DEN despite a chart-play to fade them here...I do like my top 8 totals though...
Rockets/Spurs reminds me of the Lakers/Rockets match-up from Tuesday of this week as we had the top 2 teams in the league in PACE on Tuesday facing off and tonight HOU is still #1 and the Spurs are #5 in PACE...The Houston starters were the reason that game stayed Under by half-a-point or 2 1/2 points on the closing line as the Rockets starters shot 30% for the game and Harden going 3-for-19 didn't help and both teams shot poorly from the charity stripe...I expect the HOU starters to shoot better tonight which should get this Over...
The Bulls have 7 straight Unders and Detroit had 4 straight Unders before a fluky 2H against GS last time out got an Over from what looked like a cakewalk Under at the half...
I am going to take the Denver Nuggets moneyline as they have lost 4 of 5 and are too good a team to keep losing like this and they are fighting yet again to reach .500 tonight which is always a good motivational factor...Indy has won 4 of 5, but CHI was the only team currently with a winning record they have beaten during this stretch and the Bulls are 9-8...
I am also going to take a shot with the HOU/SA Over the 212 and I already talked about this game down below in my write-up as I edited these 2 plays in here up top at 5:23 p.m. EST...
GL...
Sides:
1) Den, 2) SA, 3) Char, 4) Tor, 5) NO, 6) Was, 7) Sac, 8) LAL, 9) Cle, 10) GS, 11) Det, 12) Phi
Totals:
1) SA ov, 2) Det un, 3) Char ov, 4) Sac un, 5) NO un, 6) LAL ov, 7) Tor ov, 8) Was ov, 9) Den ov, 10) GS un, 11) Phi ov, 12) Cle un
Not crazy about too many sides tonight, but am thinking about a play on DEN despite a chart-play to fade them here...I do like my top 8 totals though...
Rockets/Spurs reminds me of the Lakers/Rockets match-up from Tuesday of this week as we had the top 2 teams in the league in PACE on Tuesday facing off and tonight HOU is still #1 and the Spurs are #5 in PACE...The Houston starters were the reason that game stayed Under by half-a-point or 2 1/2 points on the closing line as the Rockets starters shot 30% for the game and Harden going 3-for-19 didn't help and both teams shot poorly from the charity stripe...I expect the HOU starters to shoot better tonight which should get this Over...
The Bulls have 7 straight Unders and Detroit had 4 straight Unders before a fluky 2H against GS last time out got an Over from what looked like a cakewalk Under at the half...
Thursday, December 6, 2012
Thursday rankings...
Sides:
1) Mia, 2) Phoe
Totals:
1) Mia ov, 2) Phoe un
I am betting the NY/Mia game Over in the 1st Half tonight (102.5 to 103, depending on your Book, I took the 103)...Miami just not going Over much at all in the 1Q and both of these teams are scoring and giving up more points in the 2Q than the 1Q, so I have to go Over in the 1H, and ignore the 1Q Over, figuring that if the 1Q goes Over, then that increases the odds of the 1H going Over anyway...
GL...
1) Mia, 2) Phoe
Totals:
1) Mia ov, 2) Phoe un
I am betting the NY/Mia game Over in the 1st Half tonight (102.5 to 103, depending on your Book, I took the 103)...Miami just not going Over much at all in the 1Q and both of these teams are scoring and giving up more points in the 2Q than the 1Q, so I have to go Over in the 1H, and ignore the 1Q Over, figuring that if the 1Q goes Over, then that increases the odds of the 1H going Over anyway...
GL...
Wednesday, December 5, 2012
WED Totals rankings...
Totals:
1) Orl un, 2) Char ov, 3) Milw un, 4) GS un, 5) LAC ov, 6) Atl ov, 7) Min ov, 8) NO un, 9) Tor ov, 10) Chi ov, 11) Port ov
1) Orl un, 2) Char ov, 3) Milw un, 4) GS un, 5) LAC ov, 6) Atl ov, 7) Min ov, 8) NO un, 9) Tor ov, 10) Chi ov, 11) Port ov
Wednesday rankings...
Super-busy at work, probably no bets, will look at 2H plays...
Just finished looking at sides (Minny still a chart-play), and am looking at Totals now...
Sides:
1) Min, 2) Atl, 3) Chi, 4) Tor, 5) Orl, 6) LAC, 7) NO, 8) GS, 9) Port, 10) Milw, 11) Char
Just finished looking at sides (Minny still a chart-play), and am looking at Totals now...
Sides:
1) Min, 2) Atl, 3) Chi, 4) Tor, 5) Orl, 6) LAC, 7) NO, 8) GS, 9) Port, 10) Milw, 11) Char
Tuesday, December 4, 2012
Tuesday rankings...
Tuesday play below, although I do like this OKC/Bkn Under, too...
Sides:
1) OKC, 2) Min, 3) Chi, 4) Phoe, 5) Mia, 6) LAL
Totals:
1) LAL ov, 2) OKC un, 3) Chi un, 4) Phoe un, 5) Mia ov, 6) Min un
Sides:
1) OKC, 2) Min, 3) Chi, 4) Phoe, 5) Mia, 6) LAL
Totals:
1) LAL ov, 2) OKC un, 3) Chi un, 4) Phoe un, 5) Mia ov, 6) Min un
Tuesday play...
Ok, Clips let Utah shoot a 3 with 0.7 seconds left and Foye hits it for a loss in the final second, fourth loss for me in the last 9 days on the last possession, 3 of those in the final 5 seconds...Like I said, I hope these even out...I am looking at the Board now, but one game jumped out, had to play it immediately...
LA Lakers/Houston Over 212.5, laying $104 to win $100 -- Was 214.5 last night, but is coming down due to Pau Gasol being OUT tonight, but to me, the total should be going in the opposite direction with Gasol being Out...Why?...Because he has playing injured with tendonitis in both knees and he has been slowing the Lakers down, because they need to get into half-court sets just to get Pau the ball in positions on the floor where he can score...Antawn Jamison will undoubtedly take his spot, and he can run and will jack up 3's and drive to the hole...Kobe was quoted as saying to Gasol recently. "It's time to get your big boy pants on" which means the Lakers are ready to step up the Pace even more now that Coach D'Antoni has had his hands on this team for a few weeks...And the Lakers are already #2 in the league in PACE...Guess who is #1?...You got it, Houston...So we have the top 2 teams in the league in PACE, we have Houston getting Parsons and Delfino back last game (which means more offense) and they have put up totals of 234, 218, 218 and 240 in their last 4 games and the Rockets and Lakers put up a 227 at Staples 2 1/2 weeks ago and they put up 128 in the 1st half and 69 in the 1Q of that game...So yes, I am also putting small bets on the 1Q and 1H Over, too...If both these teams shoot around 40%, then ok, we are screwed here unless they can combine to get to the FT line for about 70 attempts (and hopefully Dwight Howard can at least hit 60% tonight) in which case, it might sneak over...But Pau being out hurts the Lakers defensively so I don't see any reason that both teams cannot shoot at least 45%, which should be enough to get this one Over and anything higher would just be gravy...Neither team got to the FT that much and both teams shot poorly from the charity stripe in their last head-to-head match-up, so any decrease in FG% from their last game can hopefully be compensated with with more FT attempts and makes which should get us the Over here...And one last thing: The Lakers had an embarrassing loss to Indiana at Home a week ago and followed that up by running and gunning vs. Denver and they got an easy win and that game hit 225 points...LAL followed that up with another embarrassing loss to Orlando last time out...Yet a 216 was still put up...So I expect LAL to come out running and gunning again and HOU will welcome that...Bottom line here is that this game WILL BE an Over PACE...there will be more than enough shots taken and enough FTs taken for this to be an Over...Now if it is brick-city, then it stays Under...But I expect 180 shots taken between these 2 teams tonight and if there are a lot of fouls in this game, keeping the shots around 170, then the FT attempts will go up dramatically...
GL...
LA Lakers/Houston Over 212.5, laying $104 to win $100 -- Was 214.5 last night, but is coming down due to Pau Gasol being OUT tonight, but to me, the total should be going in the opposite direction with Gasol being Out...Why?...Because he has playing injured with tendonitis in both knees and he has been slowing the Lakers down, because they need to get into half-court sets just to get Pau the ball in positions on the floor where he can score...Antawn Jamison will undoubtedly take his spot, and he can run and will jack up 3's and drive to the hole...Kobe was quoted as saying to Gasol recently. "It's time to get your big boy pants on" which means the Lakers are ready to step up the Pace even more now that Coach D'Antoni has had his hands on this team for a few weeks...And the Lakers are already #2 in the league in PACE...Guess who is #1?...You got it, Houston...So we have the top 2 teams in the league in PACE, we have Houston getting Parsons and Delfino back last game (which means more offense) and they have put up totals of 234, 218, 218 and 240 in their last 4 games and the Rockets and Lakers put up a 227 at Staples 2 1/2 weeks ago and they put up 128 in the 1st half and 69 in the 1Q of that game...So yes, I am also putting small bets on the 1Q and 1H Over, too...If both these teams shoot around 40%, then ok, we are screwed here unless they can combine to get to the FT line for about 70 attempts (and hopefully Dwight Howard can at least hit 60% tonight) in which case, it might sneak over...But Pau being out hurts the Lakers defensively so I don't see any reason that both teams cannot shoot at least 45%, which should be enough to get this one Over and anything higher would just be gravy...Neither team got to the FT that much and both teams shot poorly from the charity stripe in their last head-to-head match-up, so any decrease in FG% from their last game can hopefully be compensated with with more FT attempts and makes which should get us the Over here...And one last thing: The Lakers had an embarrassing loss to Indiana at Home a week ago and followed that up by running and gunning vs. Denver and they got an easy win and that game hit 225 points...LAL followed that up with another embarrassing loss to Orlando last time out...Yet a 216 was still put up...So I expect LAL to come out running and gunning again and HOU will welcome that...Bottom line here is that this game WILL BE an Over PACE...there will be more than enough shots taken and enough FTs taken for this to be an Over...Now if it is brick-city, then it stays Under...But I expect 180 shots taken between these 2 teams tonight and if there are a lot of fouls in this game, keeping the shots around 170, then the FT attempts will go up dramatically...
GL...
Monday, December 3, 2012
Monday rankings and play...
Sides:
1) LAC, 2) GS, 3) Tor, 4) Det, 5) Char, 6) NO
Totals:
1) Det ov, 2) NO un, 3) LAC un, 4) GS ov, 5) Tor ov, 6) Char un
I am taking the Clips...Considering GS, but man, what a huge number there...GS hasn't been more than a 5-point FAV over anyone all season and now they are 9.5 chalk to a team that just spanked the Lakers at Staples last night, which to me, means there is only one side to play here -- GS...
Los Angeles Clippers -2, laying $103 to win $100 -- A chart-play for the Clips here...And trust me, I realize that a chart-play is not the be all, end all trend to take a play, but it certainly is a guide for me and this is a fairly strong chart-play, too...Main factors for me: The Clips have Chauncey Billups back for a few games now and he is adjusting to his rotational minutes and the Clips seem to be breaking out of their funk now after this blowout win over SAC...Now I realize this was a bad spot for Sac-Town as they were on a back-ender, but the Clips buried them...They got by Minny the game before and Minny had pretty much the same spot as the Kings had...The Clips had lost 4 straight before the Minny game...Since I watch a lot of Clippers, Lakers and Golden State games on the NBA package due to the time that I get home from work, I feel a certain familiarity with these teams...When the Clips lost 2 in a row early on in the 1st week of the season, they then stepped up and crushed the Spurs at Staples, and went to PORT the following night and crushed PORT...They kept the momentum going, beating ATL, MIA & CHI at Home and then they beat the Spurs again at SA...They lost to OKC at OKC in OT, then sputtered, losing 2 more in a row on the Road and then a Home game to the Hornets, before eeking by Minny and then destroying Sac-Town...I think the Clips are about to get on a roll, so do NOT let their Road record fool you and don't let Utah's 6-0 Home record fool you too much...The Jazz are certainly tough at Home, but they have caught teams in favorable spots for most of those home games...They are not catching the Clips in a favorable spot here, and in fact, the Jazz are returning Home from a 3-game roadie...The Clips win this one, so obviously I am not afraid to lay 2 points...
GL...
1) LAC, 2) GS, 3) Tor, 4) Det, 5) Char, 6) NO
Totals:
1) Det ov, 2) NO un, 3) LAC un, 4) GS ov, 5) Tor ov, 6) Char un
I am taking the Clips...Considering GS, but man, what a huge number there...GS hasn't been more than a 5-point FAV over anyone all season and now they are 9.5 chalk to a team that just spanked the Lakers at Staples last night, which to me, means there is only one side to play here -- GS...
Los Angeles Clippers -2, laying $103 to win $100 -- A chart-play for the Clips here...And trust me, I realize that a chart-play is not the be all, end all trend to take a play, but it certainly is a guide for me and this is a fairly strong chart-play, too...Main factors for me: The Clips have Chauncey Billups back for a few games now and he is adjusting to his rotational minutes and the Clips seem to be breaking out of their funk now after this blowout win over SAC...Now I realize this was a bad spot for Sac-Town as they were on a back-ender, but the Clips buried them...They got by Minny the game before and Minny had pretty much the same spot as the Kings had...The Clips had lost 4 straight before the Minny game...Since I watch a lot of Clippers, Lakers and Golden State games on the NBA package due to the time that I get home from work, I feel a certain familiarity with these teams...When the Clips lost 2 in a row early on in the 1st week of the season, they then stepped up and crushed the Spurs at Staples, and went to PORT the following night and crushed PORT...They kept the momentum going, beating ATL, MIA & CHI at Home and then they beat the Spurs again at SA...They lost to OKC at OKC in OT, then sputtered, losing 2 more in a row on the Road and then a Home game to the Hornets, before eeking by Minny and then destroying Sac-Town...I think the Clips are about to get on a roll, so do NOT let their Road record fool you and don't let Utah's 6-0 Home record fool you too much...The Jazz are certainly tough at Home, but they have caught teams in favorable spots for most of those home games...They are not catching the Clips in a favorable spot here, and in fact, the Jazz are returning Home from a 3-game roadie...The Clips win this one, so obviously I am not afraid to lay 2 points...
GL...
Sunday, December 2, 2012
Sunday rankings...
Sides:
1) LAL, 2) Phoe
Totals:
1) LAL ov, 2) Phoe un
Automatic play on the afternoon game Under at MSG, but I am not taking it as the Knicks flew over last Sunday against Detroit, so I have a feeling this game could fly Over, too, so I am laying off it...
The Lake-Show came out with a lot of piss and vinegar against the Nuggets the last time out and I expect more of the same tonight from them...I like the Over more than than the side as I hate giving 13 in the NBA, but the Lakers can win this by whatever margin they want to...Just afraid of the back-door, so I think I will lay off bets today and see if there is a 2H bet available...
1) LAL, 2) Phoe
Totals:
1) LAL ov, 2) Phoe un
Automatic play on the afternoon game Under at MSG, but I am not taking it as the Knicks flew over last Sunday against Detroit, so I have a feeling this game could fly Over, too, so I am laying off it...
The Lake-Show came out with a lot of piss and vinegar against the Nuggets the last time out and I expect more of the same tonight from them...I like the Over more than than the side as I hate giving 13 in the NBA, but the Lakers can win this by whatever margin they want to...Just afraid of the back-door, so I think I will lay off bets today and see if there is a 2H bet available...
Saturday, December 1, 2012
Saturday Rankings...
Sides:
1) Milw, 2) Det, 3) Memp, 4) Chi, 5), 6) Mia, 7) Sac, 8) NO, 9) Cle, 10) GS
Totals:
1) Hou ov, 2) Milw un, 3) Chi un, 4) Cle ov, 5) Mia ov, 6) Sac ov, 7) GS un, 8) Memp un, 9) NO un, 10) Det ov
Debating on whether to take a few days off from bets, although I will cap the Board daily...3 tough losses this week as a meaningless 3 with less than 5 seconds left by Memp as both teams had given up and then Mike Conley shoots a trey with nobody guarding him only because the shot clock was about to run out and he swished it for a tough loss...Also had a 1/2 point loss on a Ray Allen missed FT with 2.6 seconds left on a 2H play and a missed layup by Kevin Love on the last possession of the game for another tough loss...I know they'll even out over the next 19 1/2 weeks of the regular season (at least, I hope they do) and I am still 9-7 my last 16, but I may take a break for a few days...
Have an hour to decide on a play on Milwaukee as BOS rose up to easily beat Portland last night but now face a Bucks' team in need of a win and BOS doesn't have Rondo again, so I like this spot for MILW...Also like this HOU over as the Rockets get some offensive weapons back tonight...Those are the 2 I will probably play...
1) Milw, 2) Det, 3) Memp, 4) Chi, 5), 6) Mia, 7) Sac, 8) NO, 9) Cle, 10) GS
Totals:
1) Hou ov, 2) Milw un, 3) Chi un, 4) Cle ov, 5) Mia ov, 6) Sac ov, 7) GS un, 8) Memp un, 9) NO un, 10) Det ov
Debating on whether to take a few days off from bets, although I will cap the Board daily...3 tough losses this week as a meaningless 3 with less than 5 seconds left by Memp as both teams had given up and then Mike Conley shoots a trey with nobody guarding him only because the shot clock was about to run out and he swished it for a tough loss...Also had a 1/2 point loss on a Ray Allen missed FT with 2.6 seconds left on a 2H play and a missed layup by Kevin Love on the last possession of the game for another tough loss...I know they'll even out over the next 19 1/2 weeks of the regular season (at least, I hope they do) and I am still 9-7 my last 16, but I may take a break for a few days...
Have an hour to decide on a play on Milwaukee as BOS rose up to easily beat Portland last night but now face a Bucks' team in need of a win and BOS doesn't have Rondo again, so I like this spot for MILW...Also like this HOU over as the Rockets get some offensive weapons back tonight...Those are the 2 I will probably play...
SAT update...
Busy day...Capping the Board now...Should have Rankings in 25 minutes...
2-6 last 8 plays after a 7-1 (8-0 for most followers), so 9-7 last 16, but hoping to end this week on a good note...
2-6 last 8 plays after a 7-1 (8-0 for most followers), so 9-7 last 16, but hoping to end this week on a good note...
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