NBA Finals...

Been super-busy and not posting the last week or so, which is too bad because I was fairly spot-on with the Conference Finals for the most part...

Now to The Finals...

Historically, I haven't done well in the Finals, but historically, I have all but packed up the season betting-wise because the money is made during the regular season and early rounds of the playoffs...

The Finals can be a crap-shoot at times...

No way I am playing Game 1, but I will watch and see if there is a blowout one way or the other and then go the other way in Game 2, potentially...

I will or may have 2nd half plays, depending on whether halftime scores and stats warrant...I cannot guarantee I will have a game play the entire series...

For me, there is a LOT of value taking the Heat at +205 in Game 1 on the moneyline...At Pinny, the Heat are +5 and +100 and there is a LOT of value there for me, too...

It is either take MIA or stay away in Game 1...

And the people who have followed me for many years are probably asking, "But wait Brewers7, you aren't fading the team off a Game 7 win in a tough series?"...

Normally I would, but in the Finals, Game 7 winners have 2 days rest compared to 1 days rest in any other round...BIG difference, that extra day's rest...Cancels out a lot of things...

So rare to see the Heat this big a dog against anyone and then to see 63% of John Q Public all over OKC really has me shaking my head as we perhaps have a new public darling here...I guess all these folks are looking at OKC being 8-0 at Home in the postseason and their short-term memories see OKC winning 4 in a row vs. the indestructible San Antonio Spurs, who had won 20 straight before that 4-game losing streak to end the season...

Talk about a chart-play there...I mean, some easy pickings taking OKC after that Spurs' 20-game winning streak was snapped...

Anyway, I will stalk for a 2H play in Game 1 and then we'll see about Game 2...