My basic guidelines (or "default" plays) for the
NBA preseason are:
1) take any Dog getting 4 or more points
2) fade any team playing the back-end of a back-to-back
unless they rest their starters the first game
3) fade the elite teams as they will be over-valued and
their starters generally play reduced minutes if they play at all
This does not work every preseason but it works more often
than it doesn't...
One key to the preseason is Googling previews for every game
(going to the cities' local papers online) and finding out who is playing and
who isn't...Look for coaches' quotes on who is playing extended minutes and who
is playing reduced minutes and/or being rested...
Bottom line is to stick with these guidelines and pick your
spots...
2 plays that I wasn't really around to make on Sunday were
the Atlanta Hawks and Golden State Warriors and BOTH were cakewalk winners...
The Lakers didn't even play their starters in the 2H vs. GS
and look at the momentous swing after halftime in that game...The Lakers played
19 players in that game...
Tonight, we have GS on a back-ender, but Stephen Curry, who
didn't play in the opener, will be playing tonight for GS...Bogut will be out
again...
My standard practice is to fade the team on the back-ender
(GS) tonight...
I am not sure if I will bet Utah or not but it's either take
them or stay away...
I did read in an article in the Deseret News (Salt Lake
City) where the players feel that they will be playing a more open style of
basketball this season with their additions during the offseason...I'll believe
it when I see it...
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