Post-mortem on Friday...
I always do self-analysis to see what I could have done
better, if anything, about my night...
From a handicapping perspective, I could not have done
too much better on Friday...
The rankings show that, the games I talked about show
that and I even talked about 2 "automatic" plays that I have
established during 31 years of handicapping the NBA, and these 2 particular
automatic plays are pretty strong plays...Usually very strong, in fact...
And sure enough, Brooklyn won by 39 points and the Lakers
won by 24...
So what is clear and extremely upsetting to me is that I
had a solid night handicapping, but an awful, atrocious, abominable, agonizing
night of actual betting...
I hate to lose...It irks me to no end when I have a
losing night...I know this was "only" an 0-2 night, but it was a
terrible, horrific 0-2 night for me considering the games I talked about and
the automatic plays I did NOT bet...
I have said in multiple posts this season that my totals
are starting slow like most years and I need a few weeks, maybe a
month-and-a-half before the data is in and I start nailing those...But my sides
have been spot-on as the evidence has shown pretty much every night...Top 9
sides 8-1 with one half-point loser Friday and not a single bet...
All this proves to me is how hard it really can be to win
money long term at this...You not only have to be a good handicapper, you need
to select the right games after capping and then use smart money management on
the bets.
The money management I am not worried about as EJ and I
are doing a demonstration on that in "The Trek to $20,000"
section...I also am not worried about my handicapping...I just need, starting
Saturday, to bet the top plays I have ranked...
I haven't ranked my plays daily EVERY day since the
2007-08 season after doing it for 18 seasons in a row...I stopped doing it
daily due to a new job I started that season (and am still at, where I wrk 12
to 9 and often am there later than that because I close the joint down most
nights)...So maybe I just haven't adjusted to betting my top ranked plays just
yet, BUT THAT WILL CHANGE starting Saturday...
I still cannot figure out why I bet a #7 total and
bypassed all the sides I bypassed...
Won't happen again...
I am PISSED at myself and will make the necessary
correction...
Both those bets were NOT bad bets as GS and LAL shot
horribly...Horribly...Any kind of decent shooting % from those teams and it
would have went Over easily...And I still don't know how the Indy/Minny game
went Over because when I left work to go home, it was on an easy Under Pace
through 2 1/2 quarters...
But not betting a few of those Sides, especially the
automatic plays, was criminal on my part...
I won't let that happen again...
22 1/2 weeks left and hopefully this horrid night will
long be forgotten in a few weeks/months...
Onwards and (hopefully) Upwards...
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