Tuesday, June 19, 2012

4Q officiating starting out horrible...


Officiating NO BETTER to start the 4Q...

Miami clobbering OKC players all over the court and no fouls and it has cost them at least 5 points already...

Sickening to watch really...These refs ought to be ashamed of themselves...The league should ban these 3 guys from ever doing another Finals game again...

Atrocious 3Q officiating...

This is easily the WORST officiating I have ever seen for an entire quarter...Big-time Homer refs tonight in the 3Q...

I missed the 1H as I was at a baseball game, but I have seen the entire 3Q and I am appalled by how one-sided the officiating has been for the entire 3Q...Horrible...Multiple calls where nobody from OKC even came within a foot of touching a Miami player and these phantom calls are being made, yet on the other end, OKC players are being pushed, shoved and hammered and there is no whistle...

It started 30 seconds into the 3Q where they initially called a foul on Durant when Wade drove in for a layup and Durant got all ball and blocked the shot without touching Wade's body at all...CLEAN block...Then they changed the foul to Westbrook, who was a foot away from Wade and never touched him...Did not come within a foot of touching Wade, yet the phantom foul...And it just kept happening the entire 3Q...OKC got hosed the entire quarter...

OKC has no chance whatsoever of winning another game in this series if this awful and blatant homer officiating continues in this series...

Game 4 thoughts (and Game 3 criticisms)...


Played 4 baseball games again this past weekend and was wiped out by the time I got home Sunday night around 7:45 p.m. EST, just in time to get lines for my database and not much else...

I think Scott Brooks did kind of blow that game taking Durant out when he did with 4 fouls in the 3Q...He let that 10-point lead just evaporate in just a few minutes and Miami then had the momentum for the 4Q...

Durant needs to be smarter, too, picking up some overly aggressive fouls on the offensive boards, etc...But what was Brooks doing the last 6 minutes of the 3Q??...Actually brought in Daequan Cook for a brief spell late in the 3Q and I love him as a 3-point shooter, but what was he doing in the game at that juncture??...Why was Westbrook out as long as he was??...What, because he had one stupid charge on a 1 on 4 situation there?...And you yank him out with Durant already out while Westbrook only had 2 fouls???...Why??...Because he had one bad possession and you want to prove a point??...Why??...

Game 3 was there for the taking and OKC blew it...

I think the series is over now after that loss...

And now Ibaka opening his mouth today saying that LeBron is not a good defender...

I think Miami can win this in 5 now...I don't think it goes back to OKC and even if it does, if OKC isn't up 3-2, they will lose the series...No way OKC will win Game 6 AND Game 7 against this Miami team...You aren't winning 2 pressure-cooker elimination games against this Miami squad...

I like Miami tonight, but I will pass and look at a 2H line...

And believe me, I am rooting for OKC in the worst way, but I don't bet with my heart, I bet with my head...So a lean to Miami tonight but no official play...

Thursday, June 14, 2012

2H lean...

Lean to OKC based on the FG%'s, but I am not playing it...

Finals, Game 2...


Kind of torn here...

I expect Bosh to be in the starting lineup and I expect Miami to come out the same way as they did in Game 1 -- solid in the 1st quarter and 1st half...

Have to give OKC a ton of credit for ratcheting up the effort defensively in the 2H of Game 1...The Thunder really came out determined right out of the gate after halftime...

And therein lies my dilemma...

Has OKC figured it out?...

Will they start Game 2 the same way they started the 2H of Game 1?...

That is the ONLY thought holding me back from a 1H play tonight as I told a few people after watching Game 1 that I would be thinking seriously about taking the Heat in the 1H of Game 2...

The Heat are +3 for the 1H and the moneyline is even more enticing at +165...

But I am going to pass...

I will stalk for a 2H play and see what happens...

Tuesday, June 12, 2012

2H lean...

I am not playing this as I am taking it easy here in Game 1, but the Pace of the game doesn't justify the Over...Both teams shooting over 50% in the 1st half...

So again, it's either you take the Under in the 2H or stay away...

NBA Finals...

Been super-busy and not posting the last week or so, which is too bad because I was fairly spot-on with the Conference Finals for the most part...

Now to The Finals...

Historically, I haven't done well in the Finals, but historically, I have all but packed up the season betting-wise because the money is made during the regular season and early rounds of the playoffs...

The Finals can be a crap-shoot at times...

No way I am playing Game 1, but I will watch and see if there is a blowout one way or the other and then go the other way in Game 2, potentially...

I will or may have 2nd half plays, depending on whether halftime scores and stats warrant...I cannot guarantee I will have a game play the entire series...

For me, there is a LOT of value taking the Heat at +205 in Game 1 on the moneyline...At Pinny, the Heat are +5 and +100 and there is a LOT of value there for me, too...

It is either take MIA or stay away in Game 1...

And the people who have followed me for many years are probably asking, "But wait Brewers7, you aren't fading the team off a Game 7 win in a tough series?"...

Normally I would, but in the Finals, Game 7 winners have 2 days rest compared to 1 days rest in any other round...BIG difference, that extra day's rest...Cancels out a lot of things...

So rare to see the Heat this big a dog against anyone and then to see 63% of John Q Public all over OKC really has me shaking my head as we perhaps have a new public darling here...I guess all these folks are looking at OKC being 8-0 at Home in the postseason and their short-term memories see OKC winning 4 in a row vs. the indestructible San Antonio Spurs, who had won 20 straight before that 4-game losing streak to end the season...

Talk about a chart-play there...I mean, some easy pickings taking OKC after that Spurs' 20-game winning streak was snapped...

Anyway, I will stalk for a 2H play in Game 1 and then we'll see about Game 2...