Sunday, January 1, 2012

Happy New Year...

Been taking it easy with plays although I shouldn't be as I had a red-hot Week 1, but only made 5 plays, going 3-2...

I am only going to be looking for 2H plays tonight again, but there are 3 "natural" or "default" plays tonight, which is another one of my favorites, tried and true over time, and it's the "short revenge" trend, where 2 teams play each other twice in less than 10 days...

The team that loses the first game usually covers the 2nd game and the play is stronger if the team that loses also does not cover...Also, the total will generally reverse itself for the 2nd game...

This trend is 3-0 ATS with the sides and 2-1 ATS with the totals already this year for a 5-1 record...

We have 2 games tonight, CHAR at MIA and LAL at DEN...Technically, the Sides aren't quite as strong because both teams that lost (CHAR & DEN) covered the spread in Game 1 of their matchups...

Previous games:

NJ got obliterated in Game 1 vs. ATL and then covered the 2nd game...
PHOE lost to NO and then handled them the 2nd time...
DET lost to IND and then beat them the 2nd time around...

All 3 losses were also NC's...

The NJ total went from Under to Over...
Both PHOE games stayed Under...
The DET total went from Under to Over...

So I have leans to DEN and the Over and I also like the Dal/Min Over...Not sold on CHAR...

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