Wednesday, October 31, 2012

hedging thoughts...

With a 6.5 2H line (LAL favored), it is tempting to "hedge" my game bet and "protect" that initial bet with a hedge bet on LAL 2H...After all, I could win both plays if LAL wins by 5, 6 or 7 and I can push the initial bet if LAL wins by 8 and win the hedge bet...Pretty nice middle there...

Always a tough call to hedge...Lakers shot great in the 1H, yet are still down somehow...The halftime stats tell me LAL is NOT a play, despite the value we have here, which includes the hedge-value...

I'll pass and see if the the original bet can somehow hold up...The Lakers will have at least one big run that Dallas will have to answer in the 2H...

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