Monday, October 8, 2012

NBA Preseason 2012...


My basic guidelines (or "default" plays) for the NBA preseason are:

1) take any Dog getting 4 or more points

2) fade any team playing the back-end of a back-to-back unless they rest their starters the first game

3) fade the elite teams as they will be over-valued and their starters generally play reduced minutes if they play at all

This does not work every preseason but it works more often than it doesn't...

One key to the preseason is Googling previews for every game (going to the cities' local papers online) and finding out who is playing and who isn't...Look for coaches' quotes on who is playing extended minutes and who is playing reduced minutes and/or being rested...

Bottom line is to stick with these guidelines and pick your spots...

2 plays that I wasn't really around to make on Sunday were the Atlanta Hawks and Golden State Warriors and BOTH were cakewalk winners...

The Lakers didn't even play their starters in the 2H vs. GS and look at the momentous swing after halftime in that game...The Lakers played 19 players in that game...

Tonight, we have GS on a back-ender, but Stephen Curry, who didn't play in the opener, will be playing tonight for GS...Bogut will be out again...

My standard practice is to fade the team on the back-ender (GS) tonight...

I am not sure if I will bet Utah or not but it's either take them or stay away...

I did read in an article in the Deseret News (Salt Lake City) where the players feel that they will be playing a more open style of basketball this season with their additions during the offseason...I'll believe it when I see it...

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