Tuesday, December 25, 2012

Tuesday rankings and plays...

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays...Hopefully I have 2 Christmas presents for everyone today...

Sides:

1) Den, 2) OKC, 3) Hou, 4) Bos, 5) LAL

Totals:

1) OKC un, 2) Bos un, 3) LAL un, 4) Den un, 5) Hou ov

To me, there are 4 no-brainer plays and I should just play all 4 -- the top 2 sides & top 2 totals...But I'll pass on the 2 totals and play the 2 sides...My cliff-notes thoughts on those totals are simple -- Bos/Bkn is the early afternoon game, therefore the Under (not to mention that Bkn has played 6 straight Unders in regulation time) and the OKC/Mia game has a Miami team that has finally turned up the defensive intensity...They have gone Under 5 out of their last 6 (all at Home) and even OKC has gone Under 3 straight and 4 of 5...

Plays:

Denver Nuggets +7, laying $110 to win $100 -- I will sprinkle a little on the moneyline here as the Nuggets certainly have a good chance to win this game outright...The Clips have won a franchise record 13 straight games and remember I said right here on this blog after they won Game #2 of this streak that the Clips were about to go on a roll...If you don't believe me, go to my post on DEC 3rd...But all good things must come to an end at some point...I mentioned a few days back that the OKC streak would be ending any day when they hit 12 in a row and they did lose their next time out...It is hard to keep winning games in the NBA once you have a win streak over 10...The Nuggets have been playing better of late, too, winning 4 of 5...And don't get me wrong, the Clips winning streak is impressive, but they have only beat 4 teams with winning records during this streak and the Clips had favorable situational spots over 2 of those teams...2 of those 4 teams are just 1 game over .500 (Minny and Utah) and Milwaukee is 2 games over .500 and the best team they beat was Chicago, who is 15-11...Denver is just 2 games over .500, but their record is deceiving as the schedule-makers gave them a horrific slate to start the season as this will already be Denver's 20th Road game, compared to just 9 Home games thus far...DEN has covered 6 of their last 7 and has 2 days rest for this one, so the Clips don't catch them in a favorable spot...7 points is just too much here, IMO, for a team who can win this game outright...

Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5, laying $100 to win $102 -- Feel free to take the Moneyline and I almost did, but the reason I did not is because the Heat are playing MUCH better recently...Much better...And the Heat, at Home, have found ways to pull out games even when they were not playing that well...They can turn it up a notch at Home and pull the game out in the final minutes, so to me, getting 2 1/2 at plus juice is fine in case the game comes down to the final shot and Miami has the ball and wins it at the buzzer...I believe OKC will win this one...The angle is the classic "take the team playing an opponent who eliminated them from the playoffs the season before in the first match-up of the new season"...Classic revenge spot that does well...This game should be down to the wire...I like OKC to win it...

GL...




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