Ok, Clips let Utah shoot a 3 with 0.7 seconds left and Foye hits it for a loss in the final second, fourth loss for me in the last 9 days on the last possession, 3 of those in the final 5 seconds...Like I said, I hope these even out...I am looking at the Board now, but one game jumped out, had to play it immediately...
LA Lakers/Houston Over 212.5, laying $104 to win $100 -- Was 214.5 last night, but is coming down due to Pau Gasol being OUT tonight, but to me, the total should be going in the opposite direction with Gasol being Out...Why?...Because he has playing injured with tendonitis in both knees and he has been slowing the Lakers down, because they need to get into half-court sets just to get Pau the ball in positions on the floor where he can score...Antawn Jamison will undoubtedly take his spot, and he can run and will jack up 3's and drive to the hole...Kobe was quoted as saying to Gasol recently. "It's time to get your big boy pants on" which means the Lakers are ready to step up the Pace even more now that Coach D'Antoni has had his hands on this team for a few weeks...And the Lakers are already #2 in the league in PACE...Guess who is #1?...You got it, Houston...So we have the top 2 teams in the league in PACE, we have Houston getting Parsons and Delfino back last game (which means more offense) and they have put up totals of 234, 218, 218 and 240 in their last 4 games and the Rockets and Lakers put up a 227 at Staples 2 1/2 weeks ago and they put up 128 in the 1st half and 69 in the 1Q of that game...So yes, I am also putting small bets on the 1Q and 1H Over, too...If both these teams shoot around 40%, then ok, we are screwed here unless they can combine to get to the FT line for about 70 attempts (and hopefully Dwight Howard can at least hit 60% tonight) in which case, it might sneak over...But Pau being out hurts the Lakers defensively so I don't see any reason that both teams cannot shoot at least 45%, which should be enough to get this one Over and anything higher would just be gravy...Neither team got to the FT that much and both teams shot poorly from the charity stripe in their last head-to-head match-up, so any decrease in FG% from their last game can hopefully be compensated with with more FT attempts and makes which should get us the Over here...And one last thing: The Lakers had an embarrassing loss to Indiana at Home a week ago and followed that up by running and gunning vs. Denver and they got an easy win and that game hit 225 points...LAL followed that up with another embarrassing loss to Orlando last time out...Yet a 216 was still put up...So I expect LAL to come out running and gunning again and HOU will welcome that...Bottom line here is that this game WILL BE an Over PACE...there will be more than enough shots taken and enough FTs taken for this to be an Over...Now if it is brick-city, then it stays Under...But I expect 180 shots taken between these 2 teams tonight and if there are a lot of fouls in this game, keeping the shots around 170, then the FT attempts will go up dramatically...
GL...
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