Friday, November 2, 2012

Friday play...

NBA 2-1, +$112 posted on this blog. Also 2-1 with 2H plays posted on the ThinkDog forum (although 2H plays are VERY tough to post in a timely manner)...

Miami/New York Over 199, laying $100 to win $107 -- sold 1.5 points upward here from the original line of 197.5 to get the positive juice...Joel Anthony questionable for Miami and they basically are playing without a center which means very little posting up and slowing down the pace...The Pace in the Heat's opener, while not super-duper fast, was fairly super-fast for a Celtics' game at 94.5...The high shooting percentages for both teams put this game about 40 points Over the game total...I expect the Pace to be FASTER for this game...I don't anticipate the shooting percentages we saw in Miami's opener, however that can be offset by a faster Pace in this game...The Knicks (other than Tyson Chandler) aren't known for their defense...I am not going to risk a 1Q play here, although I think the Pace may be ridiculous in the 1Q and you should see an Over in the 1Q...But I feel the Pace should be fairly quick throughout and as long as the Knicks don't get throttled, this should go Over fairly easily...I anticipate this total moving up as the day progresses, perhaps hitting 201 or 202...

GL...




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