San Antonio/Indiana over 192, laying $100 to win $103 -- A chart-play to stick with the Over on Indy and we know that SA can have an Over on any given night...Indy the top defensive team in the league in terms of FG% allowed, but I think that will start to fall off and that number will "return to the mean" and you'll see more Overs in Indy games...
Minnesota at Portland, over 199, laying $100 to win $107 -- Kevin Love being back means more points, more points, more points for Minny and remember that Barea and Pekovic very recently returned for Minny so expect their points to go up...And they happen to be playing the worst defensive team in the league (in terms of FG% allowed) and PORT is 4-2 to the Over at Home, so I see this game getting to 205 without too much of an issue...
Sacramento Kings +8, laying $100 to win $111 -- Another chart-play here as SAC went 9 games before covering a spread with their win against the Lakers last time out...It was a NC2, Push, then a NC6 before that win over the Lake-Show...Utah can blow anyone out at any time at Home, and are 4-0 SU & ATS this season at Home, but they have had favorable spots in at least 3 of those wins and I think SAC can take this down to the final possession or 2...
I am going to play the Lakers small as there is a strong chart-play to fade Memphis tonight, and the only reason I don't take the Lake-Show for a regular-sized bet is because of their early-season struggles and coaching changes...But I cannot ignore a strong chart-play without having something on the Lakers and the ML...
GL...
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