Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Mavs 2H...

Busy day at work, but I got home just in time for this one as it does qualify as a 2H play:

Dallas Mavericks -5.5, 2H. laying $100 to win $100...

GL...

2 comments:

  1. Just curious if you could give us insight on qualifications?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, for new people who haven't been following the blog: The Lakers are out-shooting Dallas by 17% in the 1H...Any "good" NBA at home being out-shot by 10% or more makes this an automatic look...Now we need to look at the half-time deficit and the 2H line and see how it relates to the game line, but we ALSO need to look at how the halftime deficit and the 2H line relates to the "NEW game line"...

      There are 3 key factors here to look at:

      1)Does the "new game line" allow Dallas to win the game by less than 7?...(7 being the only key number in the NBA)...

      2) If Dallas is losing at the half, does the "new game line" cross-over zero and stay below 7?...

      3) If Dallas is losing by DDs at the half and the "new game line" subtracted from the halftime deficit is greater than 7, then you have a play...

      Dallas down 13, 2H line is 5.5, subtract those 2 and you get 7.5, which is greater than 7, so we have a play...

      Delete